| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.5% | 62% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| logistic | 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Francesco Passaro | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1735 | 1862 |
| Surface Elo | 1735 | 1862 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.89 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.56 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Tiago Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Pedro Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Francesco Passaro | 2 - 1 | Matej Dodig |
| 06 Oct 2025 | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | Matej Dodig |
| 21 Jul 2025 | Francesco Passaro | 2 - 1 | Matej Dodig |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |