| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.7% | 45% | +1.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.5% | 76% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.0% | 64% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 49% | +10.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.4% | 28.1% | 32.5% |
| xgboost | 37.4% | 38.2% | 24.4% |
| logistic | 45.3% | 27.4% | 27.3% |
| Pisa | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1449 | 1486 |
| Surface Elo | 1449 | 1486 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Ascoli | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | L.R. Vicenza | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Vicenza | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Napoli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Monaco | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Arezzo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Arezzo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Virtus Entella | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Virtus Entella | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Cesena | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 May 2026 | Cremonese | 3 - 0 | Pisa |
| 07 Nov 2025 | Pisa | 1 - 0 | Cremonese |
| 13 May 2025 | Pisa | 2 - 1 | Cremonese |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Cremonese | 1 - 3 | Pisa |
| 01 May 2024 | Cremonese | 2 - 1 | Pisa |
| 02 Dec 2023 | Pisa | 0 - 0 | Cremonese |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Pisa | 3 - 0 | Cremonese |
| 28 Oct 2021 | Cremonese | 1 - 1 | Pisa |
| 06 Feb 2021 | Cremonese | 2 - 1 | Pisa |
| 04 Oct 2020 | Pisa | 1 - 1 | Cremonese |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.70 | 58.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |