| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.0% | 74% | -7.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.6% | 27.4% |
| logistic | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Leonard, M | Amandine Hesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1561 | 1431 |
| Surface Elo | 1561 | 1431 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.47 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.73 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Katarina Zavatska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Jessika Ponchet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Sada Nahimana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Djoubri, S | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alicia Dudeney | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Jorge, Francisca | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Myatovic, Julie | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Caroline Garcia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Tsygourova, Katerina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Esquiva Banuls, Charo | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |