| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.7% | 58% | -5.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.1% | 54.8% |
| logistic | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Kaylan Bigun | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1406 | 1449 |
| Surface Elo | 1406 | 1449 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 19 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Andrew Fenty | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Alafia Ayeni | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Shunsuke Mitsui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Alexandre Reco | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |