| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.3% | 78% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 77.1% | 22.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.8% | 36.1% |
| logistic | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Juan Estevez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1675 | 1398 |
| Surface Elo | 1675 | 1398 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 24 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Philip Sekulic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Arthur Weber | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Ilia Simakin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Murkel Dellien | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Murkel Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Juan Estevez | 1 - 2 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |