| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.0% | 88% | -15.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.8% | 32.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 90.2% | 9.8% |
| logistic | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Paul Jubb | Oscar Weightman | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1525 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1525 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 31 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Karan Singh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Pietro Fellin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Marwan Ehab | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Tomas Lanik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Diogo Marques | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Alastair Gray | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun | A | Devin Badenhorst | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Apr | A | Gauthier Onclin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Apr | H | Samir Hamza Reguig | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.13 | 88.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |