OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Antwerp 0.00 3 - 0 2.40 Charleroi
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.1%55%-8.2%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.5%81%-4.1%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 60.0%73%-13.4%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.7%60%+2.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.0%28.6%33.4%
xgboost30.0%22.0%48.0%
logistic23.5%26.3%50.2%
Inputs the models saw
AntwerpCharleroi
Elo (pre-match)15031636
Surface Elo15031636
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.002.40
Form trend0.00-0.30
Season points per game0.882.63
Season goals for / game1.502.00
Season goals against / game2.500.88
Rest days1213
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Antwerp: last 5
17 OctAKSK Heist1 - 0W
11 OctAWesterlo1 - 5L
11 OctAWesterlo1 - 5L
20 SepHSt. Gilloise0 - 2L
20 SepHUnion Gilloise0 - 2L
Charleroi: last 5
17 OctHRWDM Brussels3 - 1W
17 OctAUnion Saint-Gilloise B0 - 2L
17 OctAR AEC Mons0 - 0D
11 OctAStandard1 - 0W
11 OctAStandard1 - 0W
Head to head
10 May 2026Antwerp0 - 1Charleroi
10 Apr 2026Charleroi2 - 1Antwerp
25 Jan 2026Antwerp0 - 2Charleroi
17 Aug 2025Charleroi1 - 1Antwerp
08 Dec 2024Antwerp1 - 3Charleroi
28 Jul 2024Charleroi0 - 1Antwerp
21 Jan 2024Antwerp4 - 1Charleroi
21 Oct 2023Charleroi3 - 2Antwerp
19 Mar 2023Antwerp0 - 1Charleroi
30 Oct 2022Charleroi1 - 0Antwerp
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.9152.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home3.5028.6%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8055.6%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away1.8753.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9025.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.0324.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6959.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC