| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.9% | 48% | +3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.3% | 78% | +0.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.1% | 67% | +1.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 60% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.5% | 31.8% | 24.6% |
| xgboost | 40.0% | 38.5% | 21.5% |
| logistic | 52.3% | 27.4% | 20.2% |
| Stevenage | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1541 | 1413 |
| Surface Elo | 1541 | 1413 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 0.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 0.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.71 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Leicester | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Walsall | 6 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Leyton Orient | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Leyton Orient | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Sep | H | Luton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Blackpool | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Wycombe | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Wycombe | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Sheffield Weds | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Stockport | 0 - 4 | L |
| 02 May 2026 | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | Wigan |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Wigan | 0 - 0 | Stevenage |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Stevenage | 1 - 2 | Wigan |
| 24 Sep 2024 | Wigan | 0 - 0 | Stevenage |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Wigan | 2 - 3 | Stevenage |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | Wigan |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.65 | 60.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.66 | 60.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |