| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.5% | 65% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.1% | 31.6% |
| xgboost | 72.9% | 26.3% |
| logistic | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Edmonton Oilers | Philadelphia Flyers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1434 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1434 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.68 | 0.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.11 | 2.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.95 | 3.30 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | New York Rangers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Vancouver Canucks | 4 - 2 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 5 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | New Jersey Devils | 3 - 4 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | New York Rangers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Vancouver Canucks | 3 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Calgary Flames | 3 - 4 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | New York Rangers | 2 - 3 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 4 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 6 - 3 | W |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Edmonton Oilers | 2 - 5 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 1 - 2 | Edmonton Oilers |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 6 - 3 | Edmonton Oilers |
| 16 Oct 2024 | Edmonton Oilers | 4 - 3 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 12 Nov 00:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.69 | 37.2% | 12 Nov 00:20 |