| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.1% | 65% | -11.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| logistic | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1485 | 1449 |
| Surface Elo | 1485 | 1449 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.78 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Ryan Fishback | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Mateo Del Pino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Bini, Victor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Tadeo Meneo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Samuel Heredia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Dakotah Bobo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Bini, Victor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Alex Hernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Aug 2024 | Juan Sebastian Osorio | 1 - 2 | Tristan McCormick |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |