| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.5% | 51% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.4% | 81% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.1% | 71% | -6.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 47% | +11.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.8% | 25.9% | 26.3% |
| xgboost | 44.4% | 31.8% | 23.8% |
| logistic | 46.1% | 27.7% | 26.2% |
| Sevilla | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1619 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1619 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.56 | 1.22 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.78 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 4 W · 4 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Real Madrid | 1 - 4 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Levante | 3 - 3 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Barcelona | 1 - 3 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | La Coruna | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Valencia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Espanyol Barcelona B | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Santander | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Santander | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | UE Olot | 0 - 0 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Betis | 2 - 5 | L |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Osasuna | 2 - 1 | Sevilla |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Sevilla | 1 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Osasuna | 1 - 0 | Sevilla |
| 02 Dec 2024 | Sevilla | 1 - 1 | Osasuna |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Sevilla | 1 - 1 | Osasuna |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Osasuna | 0 - 0 | Sevilla |
| 26 Feb 2023 | Sevilla | 2 - 3 | Osasuna |
| 12 Aug 2022 | Osasuna | 2 - 1 | Sevilla |
| 05 Feb 2022 | Osasuna | 0 - 0 | Sevilla |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Sevilla | 2 - 0 | Osasuna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.33 | 23.1% | 26 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 26 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 26 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 26 Oct 20:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.49 | 22.3% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.54 | 28.2% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.72 | 58.1% | 26 Oct 06:15 |