| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.6% | 61% | -4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 36.0% | 63.9% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Dali Blanch | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1511 | 1564 |
| Surface Elo | 1511 | 1564 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.38 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Marko Topo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Milos Karol | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Nicolas Tepmahc | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Yanaki Milev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |