| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.3% | 68% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.3% | 73.6% |
| logistic | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Elena Malygina | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1538 | 1489 |
| Surface Elo | 1538 | 1489 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Alice Gillan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Dada-Mascoll, Savannah | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Victoria Allen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Katie Swan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Jorge, Matilde | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maduzzi, Gaia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Nilsson, Lea | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Oceane Dodin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Lisa Pigato | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.42 | 41.3% | 21 Oct 06:15 |