| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.5% | 86% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 21.1% | 78.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 12.2% | 87.7% |
| logistic | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| Daria Snigur | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1654 | 1870 |
| Surface Elo | 1654 | 1870 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Taylah Preston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Taylah Preston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Polina Kudermetova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Yue Yuan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Daria Snigur | 0 - 2 | Mirra Andreeva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.16 | 86.2% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.70 | 17.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |