| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.6% | 47% | +1.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.8% | 74% | +2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.1% | 63% | +0.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 44% | +8.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.5% | 28.6% | 25.9% |
| xgboost | 43.6% | 26.7% | 29.7% |
| logistic | 49.5% | 26.7% | 23.8% |
| FC Koln | Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1511 | 1563 |
| Surface Elo | 1511 | 1563 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 0 W · 4 D |
| 24 Oct | H | SC Verl | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Duisburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | A | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Stuttgart | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Mainz | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Mainz | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Freiburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Freiburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Austria Lustenau | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Feb 2025 | FC Koln | 1 - 0 | Schalke 04 |
| 01 Sep 2024 | Schalke 04 | 1 - 3 | FC Koln |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Schalke 04 | 0 - 0 | FC Koln |
| 07 Aug 2022 | FC Koln | 3 - 1 | Schalke 04 |
| 22 May 2021 | FC Koln | 1 - 0 | Schalke 04 |
| 20 Jan 2021 | Schalke 04 | 1 - 2 | FC Koln |
| 29 Feb 2020 | FC Koln | 3 - 0 | Schalke 04 |
| 05 Oct 2019 | Schalke 04 | 1 - 1 | FC Koln |
| 22 Apr 2018 | FC Koln | 2 - 2 | Schalke 04 |
| 02 Dec 2017 | Schalke 04 | 2 - 2 | FC Koln |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 24 Oct 14:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 24 Oct 14:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 24 Oct 14:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 24 Oct 14:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 24 Oct 14:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.33 | 30.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.79 | 26.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.19 | 45.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.68 | 59.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |