| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.3% | 50% | +2.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.3% | 57.6% |
| logistic | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Jurij Rodionov | Pierre Hugues Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1636 | 1599 |
| Surface Elo | 1636 | 1599 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 41 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Jakub Mensik | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Rei Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Norbert Gombos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Gaston | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Norbert Gombos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Mar 2025 | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | Pierre Hugues Herbert |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |