OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Germany DFB Pokal · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Freiburg 1.40 3 - 2 1.60 Wolfsburg
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 54.7%66%-11.0%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.9%86%-6.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 72.0%82%-9.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.0%71%-12.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson51.1%22.9%26.0%
xgboost57.2%24.4%18.4%
logistic56.1%24.5%19.3%
Inputs the models saw
FreiburgWolfsburg
Elo (pre-match)16581540
Surface Elo16581540
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.60
Form trend0.70-0.20
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days34
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W2 W · 1 D
Freiburg: last 5
25 OctHBayern München1 - 3L
25 OctHBayern München1 - 3L
22 OctAMonaco0 - 3L
18 OctABayer Leverkusen1 - 2L
18 OctABayer Leverkusen1 - 2L
Wolfsburg: last 5
23 OctABochum1 - 1D
23 OctABochum1 - 1D
17 OctHHeidenheim3 - 1W
17 OctHHeidenheim3 - 1W
10 OctANurnberg4 - 4D
Head to head
03 May 2026Freiburg1 - 1Wolfsburg
20 Dec 2025Wolfsburg3 - 4Freiburg
26 Apr 2025Wolfsburg0 - 1Freiburg
13 Dec 2024Freiburg3 - 2Wolfsburg
27 Apr 2024Freiburg1 - 2Wolfsburg
09 Dec 2023Wolfsburg0 - 1Freiburg
19 May 2023Freiburg2 - 0Wolfsburg
21 Jan 2023Wolfsburg6 - 0Freiburg
12 Mar 2022Freiburg3 - 2Wolfsburg
23 Oct 2021Wolfsburg0 - 2Freiburg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.2019.2%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.8020.8%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5962.9%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4170.9%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.0033.3%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC