| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.6% | 52% | +4.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 66.4% | 33.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.5% | 52.4% |
| logistic | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Jose Pereira | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1463 | 1426 |
| Surface Elo | 1463 | 1426 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Mateus Alves | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Tristan McCormick | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Lautaro Midon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Franco Ribero | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Gustavo Heide | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Matteo Covato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Juan Sebastian Osorio | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |