| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 53% | -0.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| logistic | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Kayla Day | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1476 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1476 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Antonia Ruzic | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Sofia Kenin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Antonia Ruzic | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sofia Kenin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Amelie Van Impe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Tereza Valentova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tereza Valentova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Ashlyn Krueger | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Ashlyn Krueger | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Kayla Day | 1 - 2 | Shuai Zhang |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.98 | 50.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |