| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.6% | 69% | -11.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.1% | 65.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.9% | 54.0% |
| logistic | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Pavel Kotov | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1737 | 1778 |
| Surface Elo | 1737 | 1778 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Aleksandar Vukic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Damm Jr, Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Shintaro Mochizuki | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Luca Castelnuovo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Andrey Rublev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Andrey Rublev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct 2026 | Pavel Kotov | 2 - 0 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 14 Oct 2024 | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 16 Oct 2023 | Pavel Kotov | 2 - 0 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 16 Jan 2023 | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 3 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 04 Apr 2022 | Pavel Kotov | 2 - 1 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 07 Oct 06:15 |