| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.9% | 62% | +7.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 92.0% | 88% | +3.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 90.1% | 82% | +8.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.6% | 57% | +15.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 18.7% | 26.6% | 54.7% |
| xgboost | 13.0% | 18.1% | 68.9% |
| logistic | 14.2% | 22.2% | 63.6% |
| Antwerp | St. Gilloise | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1520 | 1821 |
| Surface Elo | 1520 | 1821 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.17 | 2.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 3.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.17 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 3 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Club Brugge | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Standard | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | St Truiden | 1 - 4 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Genk | 4 - 4 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Kortrijk | 3 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Lommel SK | 5 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Charleroi | 3 - 2 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | St Truiden | 3 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Anderlecht | 3 - 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Waregem | 0 - 0 | D |
| 21 Feb 2026 | St. Gilloise | 2 - 1 | Antwerp |
| 25 Jul 2025 | Antwerp | 1 - 1 | St. Gilloise |
| 17 May 2025 | Antwerp | 0 - 4 | St. Gilloise |
| 29 Mar 2025 | St. Gilloise | 5 - 1 | Antwerp |
| 01 Dec 2024 | St. Gilloise | 2 - 1 | Antwerp |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Antwerp | 2 - 0 | St. Gilloise |
| 28 Apr 2024 | St. Gilloise | 4 - 1 | Antwerp |
| 25 Apr 2024 | Antwerp | 0 - 3 | St. Gilloise |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Antwerp | 1 - 1 | St. Gilloise |
| 03 Sep 2023 | St. Gilloise | 2 - 2 | Antwerp |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 20 Sep 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.33 | 23.1% | 20 Sep 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 5.00 | 20.0% | 20 Sep 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 20 Sep 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 20 Sep 12:30 |