| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.8% | 14% | +45.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 84.1% | 40% | +44.0% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 78.8% | 18% | +60.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 61% | +1.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 57.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 16.7% | 22.0% | 61.3% |
| xgboost | 21.9% | 26.2% | 51.9% |
| logistic | 8.4% | 9.3% | 82.3% |
| Panionios | PAOK | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1447 | 1774 |
| Surface Elo | 1447 | 1774 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 2276 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Pas Pyrgos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | APS Zakynthos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Jul | A | Atromitos | 0 - 0 | D |
| 11 Jul | H | Panetolikos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Larisa | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Oct | H | Hellas Syrou | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | Bam FC | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Poseidonas Michanionas | 1 - 5 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | AE Larissa FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Nestos Chrysoupoli FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Dec 2019 | Panionios | 0 - 2 | PAOK |
| 01 Sep 2019 | PAOK | 2 - 1 | Panionios |
| 19 Jan 2019 | PAOK | 3 - 0 | Panionios |
| 02 Sep 2018 | Panionios | 0 - 1 | PAOK |
| 14 Apr 2018 | PAOK | 3 - 1 | Panionios |
| 26 Nov 2017 | Panionios | 2 - 2 | PAOK |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.90 | 14.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 12 Oct 06:15 |