| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.4% | 52% | -3.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 79.8% | 80% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.2% | 68% | -7.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 67% | -1.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 62.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.5% | 24.4% | 28.2% |
| xgboost | 33.9% | 20.4% | 45.7% |
| logistic | 15.1% | 16.7% | 68.2% |
| Dover Athletic | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1201 | 1382 |
| Surface Elo | 1201 | 1382 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1637 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Farnham Town | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Chelmsford City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Salisbury FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Dorking | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Dorking | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Nov | H | Derby | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Southend | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Southend | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Solihull | 2 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Solihull | 2 - 3 | L |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Wealdstone | 2 - 1 | Dover Athletic |
| 23 Nov 2021 | Dover Athletic | 2 - 3 | Wealdstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.94 | 51.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.49 | 67.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |