| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 46.9% | 85% | -38.6% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.7% | 89% | -14.7% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.8% | 92% | -28.9% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 85% | -22.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 25.0% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 22.1% | 24.4% | 53.5% |
| logistic | 17.7% | 26.0% | 56.3% |
| Elversberg | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1540 | 1860 |
| Surface Elo | 1540 | 1860 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Sep | A | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 - 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 - 2 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Schalke 04 | 0 - 0 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Stuttgart | 5 - 1 | W |
| 16 May | H | FC Koln | 5 - 1 | W |
| 09 May | A | Wolfsburg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 May | H | Heidenheim | 3 - 3 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.17 | 85.5% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 9.00 | 11.1% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 13.00 | 7.7% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.17 | 85.5% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 5.00 | 20.0% | 13 Sep 19:39 |