OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
🇮🇹 Serie A · Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Lecce 1.20 0 - 2 1.00 Juventus
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 57.4%68%-10.2%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 84.1%90%-6.2%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 77.7%86%-8.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.8%54%+0.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson16.8%26.4%56.9%
xgboost18.3%25.9%55.8%
logistic13.8%23.2%63.0%
Inputs the models saw
LecceJuventus
Elo (pre-match)15901761
Surface Elo15901761
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.00
Form trend-0.300.10
Season points per game1.291.57
Season goals for / game1.291.29
Season goals against / game1.711.14
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W7 W · 3 D
Lecce: last 5
18 OctAUdinese3 - 0W
18 OctAUdinese3 - 0W
11 OctHBologna1 - 2L
11 OctHBologna1 - 2L
20 SepAAc Milan0 - 3L
Juventus: last 5
22 OctHRennes2 - 2D
18 OctHLazio0 - 3L
18 OctHLazio0 - 3L
15 OctACelta2 - 1W
11 OctACagliari1 - 1D
Head to head
09 May 2026Lecce0 - 1Juventus
03 Jan 2026Juventus1 - 1Lecce
12 Apr 2025Juventus2 - 1Lecce
01 Dec 2024Lecce1 - 1Juventus
21 Jan 2024Lecce0 - 3Juventus
26 Sep 2023Juventus1 - 0Lecce
03 May 2023Juventus2 - 1Lecce
29 Oct 2022Lecce0 - 1Juventus
26 Jun 2020Juventus4 - 0Lecce
26 Oct 2019Lecce1 - 1Juventus
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.4867.6%25 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2draw4.2023.8%25 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2home7.0014.3%25 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8055.6%25 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%25 Oct 17:00
SportyBet1X2away1.5564.5%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.5122.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home6.5415.3%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8354.6%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 20:31 UTC