| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.5% | 79% | -11.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 22.5% | 77.4% |
| logistic | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Tim Handel | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1411 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1411 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 240 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Jan | A | Daniel Michalski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Martin Borisiouk | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Govind Nanda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Niels Visker | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Mar | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.26 | 79.4% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 23 Sep 06:15 |