OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-17
🎾 WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles · Thursday 17 September 2026, 20:30 UTC · finished
Eva Lys 0.60 0 - 2 0.60 Nadia Podoroska
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 62.7%69%-6.3%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov57.4%42.6%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost64.0%35.9%
logistic63.4%36.6%
Inputs the models saw
Eva LysNadia Podoroska
Elo (pre-match)15901442
Surface Elo15901442
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend-0.30-0.30
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days1818
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Eva Lys: last 5
15 SepHCE, Gabriela2 - 1W
15 SepHNadia Podoroska0 - 2L
15 SepHGabriela Ce2 - 1W
30 AugHMirra Andreeva0 - 2L
30 AugHGabriela Andrea Knutson2 - 0W
Nadia Podoroska: last 5
15 SepALucrezia Stefanini2 - 0W
15 SepHPaula Badosa2 - 0W
15 SepHSuzan Lamens2 - 1W
15 SepAEva Lys2 - 0W
15 SepALucrezia Stefanini2 - 0W
Head to head
15 Sep 2026Eva Lys0 - 2Nadia Podoroska
15 Jul 2024Eva Lys2 - 0Nadia Podoroska
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.8535.1%17 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4569.0%17 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 22:47 UTC