| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.9% | 66% | -3.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.3% | 32.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.9% | 40.0% |
| logistic | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Dominic Stricker | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1646 | 1523 |
| Surface Elo | 1646 | 1523 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Carrascosa Diaz, Enrique | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Henry Bernet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Liam Broady | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Niels Visker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Petr Nesterov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep 2025 | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | Marko Topo |
| 02 Jun 2025 | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | Marko Topo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 05 Oct 06:15 |