| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.3% | 33% | +8.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.6% | 76% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.1% | 47% | +7.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 52% | +10.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.2% | 28.7% | 33.1% |
| xgboost | 33.2% | 34.8% | 32.0% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 28.3% | 34.1% |
| Clermont | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1379 | 1364 |
| Surface Elo | 1379 | 1364 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Laval | 3 - 3 | D |
| 16 Oct | A | Stade Lavallois MFC | 3 - 3 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Red Star | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Red Star | 2 - 3 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Grenoble | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Pau FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Pau FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Nancy | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Nancy | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Red Star | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 May 2026 | Clermont | 1 - 0 | Guingamp |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Guingamp | 0 - 1 | Clermont |
| 07 Mar 2025 | Guingamp | 3 - 1 | Clermont |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Clermont | 4 - 1 | Guingamp |
| 02 Mar 2021 | Guingamp | 0 - 5 | Clermont |
| 07 Nov 2020 | Clermont | 0 - 0 | Guingamp |
| 25 Oct 2019 | Guingamp | 1 - 2 | Clermont |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.92 | 52.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |