OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Eredivisie · Sunday 08 November 2026, 11:15 UTC · finished
Heerenveen 2.40 5 - 3 2.20 Feyenoord
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 54.5%57%-3.0%✗ miss
DCHome or away 77.5%81%-3.5%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 69.1%74%-4.6%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.7%72%-12.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson22.4%23.2%54.4%
xgboost27.9%20.8%51.3%
logistic20.3%24.0%55.7%
Inputs the models saw
HeerenveenFeyenoord
Elo (pre-match)16021745
Surface Elo16021745
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.20
Form trend-0.300.60
Season points per game1.642.27
Season goals for / game1.733.00
Season goals against / game1.181.09
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W7 W · 2 D
Heerenveen: last 5
31 OctHNijmegen1 - 0W
31 OctHNijmegen1 - 0W
28 OctAExcelsior2 - 0W
24 OctADen Haag3 - 2W
24 OctADen Haag3 - 2W
Feyenoord: last 5
03 NovHInter0 - 3L
31 OctHFor Sittard1 - 1D
31 OctHFortuna Sittard1 - 1D
25 OctAPSV Eindhoven1 - 1D
25 OctAPSV Eindhoven1 - 1D
Head to head
11 Jan 2026Heerenveen2 - 2Feyenoord
13 Sep 2025Feyenoord1 - 0Heerenveen
18 May 2025Heerenveen2 - 0Feyenoord
23 Nov 2024Feyenoord3 - 0Heerenveen
17 Mar 2024Heerenveen2 - 3Feyenoord
16 Sep 2023Feyenoord6 - 1Heerenveen
12 Feb 2023Heerenveen1 - 2Feyenoord
13 Aug 2022Feyenoord0 - 0Heerenveen
22 Dec 2021Heerenveen0 - 3Feyenoord
22 Sep 2021Feyenoord3 - 1Heerenveen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.7058.8%08 Nov 11:15
Bet3651X2draw4.3323.1%08 Nov 11:15
Bet3651X2home4.3323.1%08 Nov 11:15
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3375.2%08 Nov 11:15
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.4029.4%08 Nov 11:15
SportyBet1X2away1.7557.1%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.3722.9%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.3822.8%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3971.9%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.1032.3%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC