| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.1% | 81% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| logistic | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Harold Mayot | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1718 | 1469 |
| Surface Elo | 1718 | 1469 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Jesper De Jong | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Johannus Monday | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | Justin Boulais |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.95 | 25.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |