OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
⚽ Eredivisie · Sunday 25 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
AZ Alkmaar 1.60 0 - 2 2.00 Twente
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 45.3%46%-0.7%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.0%79%-3.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 57.7%61%-3.0%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.8%69%-11.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 58.3%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.4%27.7%31.9%
xgboost46.0%23.0%31.0%
logistic38.8%26.9%34.3%
Inputs the models saw
AZ AlkmaarTwente
Elo (pre-match)16461667
Surface Elo16461667
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.602.00
Form trend0.500.80
Season points per game2.221.89
Season goals for / game2.221.89
Season goals against / game1.111.11
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W5 W · 2 D
AZ Alkmaar: last 5
23 OctHHelmond Sport5 - 4W
22 OctAFC Ararat-Armenia4 - 0W
18 OctACambuur2 - 2D
18 OctACambuur2 - 2D
16 OctAVVV Venlo4 - 4D
Twente: last 5
22 OctALincoln Red Imps4 - 1W
18 OctHUtrecht1 - 2L
18 OctHUtrecht1 - 2L
15 OctHFC Thun1 - 0W
10 OctAFortuna Sittard1 - 1D
Head to head
03 May 2026AZ Alkmaar2 - 2Twente
30 Nov 2025Twente1 - 0AZ Alkmaar
14 May 2025Twente2 - 3AZ Alkmaar
21 Dec 2024AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Twente
05 May 2024AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Twente
13 Jan 2024Twente2 - 1AZ Alkmaar
19 Mar 2023Twente2 - 1AZ Alkmaar
11 Sep 2022AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Twente
13 Mar 2022AZ Alkmaar0 - 1Twente
23 Sep 2021Twente3 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.8035.7%25 Oct 19:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%25 Oct 19:00
Bet3651X2home2.3043.5%25 Oct 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5066.7%25 Oct 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.5040.0%25 Oct 19:00
SportyBet1X2away3.0133.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0324.8%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2245.1%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4768.0%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.8035.7%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC