| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.1% | 62% | -7.0% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.0% | 52.8% |
| logistic | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Tristan Boyer | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1668 | 1692 |
| Surface Elo | 1668 | 1692 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.64 | 2.31 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.27 | 1.46 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.46 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | A | Santiago De La Fuente | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Facundo Mena | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Elmer Moller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Andres Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |