OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-08

NFL · Sunday 08 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished

New Orleans Saints – 23 - 22 – Cleveland Browns

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	54.8%	no line		✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	54.8%	45.2%

Inputs the models saw

	New Orleans Saints	Cleveland Browns
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.11
form diff	-0.38
rest diff	1.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.00
opponent strength diff	0.05
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-11-07T18:00:00+00:00

New Orleans Saints: last 5

25 Oct	H	Pittsburgh Steelers	10 - 16	L
18 Oct	A	New York Giants	34 - 27	W
11 Oct	H	Minnesota Vikings	13 - 23	L
06 Oct	H	Atlanta Falcons	24 - 45	L
27 Sep	H	Las Vegas Raiders	27 - 35	L

Cleveland Browns: last 5

01 Nov	A	Pittsburgh Steelers	6 - 27	L
25 Oct	A	Tennessee Titans	27 - 24	W
18 Oct	H	Baltimore Ravens	13 - 10	W
11 Oct	A	New York Jets	12 - 17	L
02 Oct	H	Pittsburgh Steelers	27 - 24	W

Head to head

17 Nov 2024	New Orleans Saints	35 - 14	Cleveland Browns
24 Dec 2022	Cleveland Browns	10 - 17	New Orleans Saints
16 Sep 2018	New Orleans Saints	21 - 18	Cleveland Browns
14 Sep 2014	Cleveland Browns	26 - 24	New Orleans Saints
24 Oct 2010	New Orleans Saints	17 - 30	Cleveland Browns
10 Sep 2006	Cleveland Browns	14 - 19	New Orleans Saints
24 Nov 2002	New Orleans Saints	15 - 24	Cleveland Browns

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.59	62.9%	08 Nov 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.51	39.8%	08 Nov 14:20

Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC