OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Cheltenham 1.20 1 - 0 1.80 Newport County
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.8%39%+5.6%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.4%76%-0.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 56.5%54%+2.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.6%54%+1.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 51.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson45.7%25.2%29.1%
xgboost36.9%26.4%36.8%
logistic37.9%29.4%32.7%
Inputs the models saw
CheltenhamNewport County
Elo (pre-match)14271395
Surface Elo14271395
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.80
Form trend0.000.40
Season points per game1.171.67
Season goals for / game1.331.00
Season goals against / game2.000.67
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W2 W · 3 D
Cheltenham: last 5
20 OctHFleetwood Town4 - 2W
20 OctHFleetwood Town4 - 2W
17 OctAOldham1 - 4L
17 OctAOldham1 - 4L
13 OctHTottenham2 - 2D
Newport County: last 5
20 OctARotherham2 - 2D
20 OctARotherham2 - 2D
17 OctHYork1 - 1D
17 OctHYork1 - 1D
10 OctHColchester1 - 0W
Head to head
18 Apr 2026Cheltenham1 - 0Newport County
18 Oct 2025Newport County0 - 2Cheltenham
22 Feb 2025Newport County0 - 3Cheltenham
10 Aug 2024Cheltenham3 - 2Newport County
01 May 2021Newport County1 - 0Cheltenham
19 Jan 2021Cheltenham1 - 1Newport County
01 Jan 2020Newport County1 - 1Cheltenham
15 Mar 2019Newport County1 - 0Cheltenham
24 Nov 2018Cheltenham2 - 1Newport County
30 Dec 2017Cheltenham1 - 1Newport County
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5539.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8753.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8653.8%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:17 UTC