| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.1% | 50% | +0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 48.7% | 51.2% |
| logistic | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1528 | 1543 |
| Surface Elo | 1528 | 1543 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | A | Maxime Janvier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Laurent Lokoli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | Ugo Blanchet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.80 | 55.6% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |