| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.5% | 47% | -2.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.6% | 74% | -0.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.0% | 65% | -4.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 48% | +9.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.8% | 28.8% | 38.4% |
| xgboost | 29.9% | 27.0% | 43.1% |
| logistic | 25.2% | 27.9% | 46.9% |
| Osasuna | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1548 | 1626 |
| Surface Elo | 1548 | 1626 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 5 W · 4 D |
| 02 Nov | A | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | La Coruna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | CD Tudelano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Atletico Calatayud | 6 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Sevilla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Sociedad | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Sociedad | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | AE Prat | 6 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Getafe | 4 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Getafe | 4 - 0 | W |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Athletic Club | 1 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Osasuna | 1 - 1 | Athletic Club |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Athletic Club | 0 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Osasuna | 1 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 11 May 2024 | Athletic Club | 2 - 2 | Osasuna |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Osasuna | 0 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 25 May 2023 | Osasuna | 2 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| 09 Jan 2023 | Athletic Club | 0 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 15 May 2022 | Athletic Club | 2 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 03 Jan 2022 | Osasuna | 1 - 3 | Athletic Club |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.14 | 46.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.52 | 28.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.72 | 26.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.77 | 56.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |