| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.0% | 58% | +3.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.5% | 56.4% |
| logistic | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Daniel Milavsky | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1610 | 1723 |
| Surface Elo | 1610 | 1723 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.27 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.43 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Luca Wiedenmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Alexis Galarneau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Jan Kumstat | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Luca Nardi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.73 | 57.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |