| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.4% | 40% | +5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 76% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.2% | 57% | +3.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 50% | +3.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.4% | 28.7% | 39.9% |
| xgboost | 34.9% | 22.7% | 42.4% |
| logistic | 23.2% | 27.6% | 49.2% |
| Cadiz | Oviedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1346 | 1514 |
| Surface Elo | 1346 | 1514 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.42 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 02 Nov | A | Mallorca | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | CD Xerez | 3 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Ceuta | 3 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Ceuta | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Granada | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Las Palmas | 2 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Almeria | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Ceuta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Eibar | 3 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Eldense | 1 - 4 | L |
| 01 Jun 2025 | Oviedo | 2 - 1 | Cadiz |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Cadiz | 2 - 0 | Oviedo |
| 04 Jul 2020 | Cadiz | 2 - 0 | Oviedo |
| 15 Dec 2019 | Oviedo | 0 - 2 | Cadiz |
| 03 Feb 2019 | Oviedo | 2 - 1 | Cadiz |
| 01 Sep 2018 | Cadiz | 1 - 1 | Oviedo |
| 10 Feb 2018 | Cadiz | 2 - 1 | Oviedo |
| 17 Sep 2017 | Oviedo | 1 - 0 | Cadiz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 07 Nov 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Nov 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 07 Nov 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 07 Nov 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 07 Nov 15:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.84 | 54.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |