| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 81.0% | 75% | +6.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.8% | 77.1% |
| logistic | 22.7% | 77.3% |
| Michael Geerts | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1471 | 1682 |
| Surface Elo | 1471 | 1682 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.11 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.11 | 0.78 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Matisse Bobichon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Niels McDonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Matisse Bobichon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Leo Raquillet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Karim Bennani | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Kilian Feldbausch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.05 | 32.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |