| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.1% | 74% | -10.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 22.4% | 77.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| logistic | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Patrick Zahraj | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1554 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1554 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 27 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Aug | A | Patrick Brady | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Mika Brunold | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Maxim Zhukov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Maxime Chazal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun | H | Robin Bertrand | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Benjamin Pietri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 20 Sep 06:16 |