OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ England Championship · Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:30 UTC · finished
Bristol City 0.80 0 - 5 1.80 Norwich
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 41.8%37%+4.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.0%76%-1.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 55.7%51%+4.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 50.0%49%+1.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.1%26.5%33.4%
xgboost39.4%29.0%31.6%
logistic39.7%26.7%33.6%
Inputs the models saw
Bristol CityNorwich
Elo (pre-match)15181547
Surface Elo15181547
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.80
Form trend-0.30-0.90
Season points per game0.831.29
Season goals for / game0.832.00
Season goals against / game1.171.57
Rest days23
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W5 W · 1 D
Bristol City: last 5
04 NovHWolverhampton Wanderers1 - 2L
04 NovHWolverhampton Wanderers1 - 2L
31 OctABolton3 - 2W
31 OctABolton3 - 2W
24 OctAStoke0 - 0D
Norwich: last 5
03 NovADerby4 - 0W
03 NovADerby4 - 0W
03 NovABraintree Town1 - 3L
31 OctHWatford3 - 2W
31 OctHWatford3 - 2W
Head to head
21 Oct 2026Norwich1 - 1Bristol City
18 Apr 2026Bristol City2 - 4Norwich
18 Oct 2025Norwich0 - 1Bristol City
14 Mar 2025Bristol City2 - 1Norwich
09 Nov 2024Norwich0 - 2Bristol City
20 Apr 2024Norwich1 - 1Bristol City
03 Dec 2023Bristol City1 - 2Norwich
11 Feb 2023Bristol City1 - 0Norwich
14 Sep 2022Norwich3 - 2Bristol City
20 Jan 2021Norwich2 - 0Bristol City
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.6338.0%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5628.1%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7136.9%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8155.2%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC