| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 38.4% | 53% | -14.2% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.8% | 75% | +0.3% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 50.7% | 67% | -16.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 selected | 62.5% | 58% | +4.7% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 25.0% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 32.0% | 22.4% | 45.6% |
| logistic | 36.8% | 24.4% | 38.8% |
| Coventry | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1475 | 1593 |
| Surface Elo | 1475 | 1593 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Sep | A | Manchester City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Hull | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | Arsenal | 0 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Leeds | 1 - 1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Chelsea | 3 - 4 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | Aston Villa | 4 - 0 | W |
| 24 May | H | Manchester United | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 May | A | Leeds | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.80 | 26.3% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 13 Sep 19:39 |