| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.0% | 45% | +4.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.7% | 74% | +1.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.9% | 62% | +2.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 53% | +3.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.7% | 28.2% | 26.1% |
| xgboost | 39.7% | 29.3% | 30.9% |
| logistic | 49.6% | 27.7% | 22.7% |
| Fleetwood Town | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1365 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1365 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Walsall | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Walsall | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Oct | H | Barnsley | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Salford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Salford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Gillingham | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Gillingham | 1 - 4 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Bradford | 0 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Exeter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Exeter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | Rotherham |
| 11 Sep 2021 | Rotherham | 2 - 4 | Fleetwood Town |
| 21 Dec 2019 | Rotherham | 2 - 2 | Fleetwood Town |
| 07 Apr 2018 | Rotherham | 3 - 2 | Fleetwood Town |
| 05 Aug 2017 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 0 | Rotherham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.87 | 53.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.87 | 53.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |