| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.1% | 44% | +8.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.2% | 55.7% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Max Hans Rehberg | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1664 | 1573 |
| Surface Elo | 1664 | 1573 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 11 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Mili Poljicak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Andres Andrade | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Max Hans Rehberg | 0 - 2 | Mees Rottgering |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |