| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.6% | 53% | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.5% | 42.0% |
| xgboost | 50.0% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | Florida Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1464 | 1502 |
| Surface Elo | 1464 | 1502 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 4 - 5 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 6 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 5 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 5 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 8 - 3 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 3 - 2 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 7 - 3 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 5 | L |
| 05 Apr 2026 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 2 | Florida Panthers |
| 04 Apr 2026 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 9 - 4 | Florida Panthers |
| 23 Oct 2025 | Florida Panthers | 3 - 5 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Florida Panthers | 4 - 3 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Florida Panthers | 3 - 2 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 04 Dec 2024 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 4 | Florida Panthers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 22 Oct 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.02 | 49.5% | 22 Oct 18:20 |