| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.8% | 77% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.6% | 80.3% |
| logistic | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Nicolas Tepmahc | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1482 | 1551 |
| Surface Elo | 1482 | 1551 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | A | Branko Djuric | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Isaac Nortey | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | John Echeverria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Aziz Ouakaa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Corbinais, Sven | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Yanaki Milev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Andrea Pellegrino | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |