| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.4% | 58% | -5.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 77.6% | 78% | -0.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 68.6% | 76% | -7.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 59% | +9.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 23.9% | 25.7% | 50.4% |
| xgboost | 21.6% | 19.5% | 58.9% |
| logistic | 28.1% | 26.7% | 45.1% |
| Venezia | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1794 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1794 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Atalanta | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Atalanta | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Lecco | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Lazio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Brescia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Villarreal | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Frosinone | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Frosinone | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Pisa | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Venezia | 0 - 0 | Napoli |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Napoli | 1 - 0 | Venezia |
| 06 Feb 2022 | Venezia | 0 - 2 | Napoli |
| 22 Aug 2021 | Napoli | 2 - 0 | Venezia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.16 | 24.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.80 | 20.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |