| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.8% | 78% | -14.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.4% | 76.5% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1513 | 1573 |
| Surface Elo | 1513 | 1573 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.18 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.64 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.73 | 0.14 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Alex Hernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Tristan McCormick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Ryan Fishback | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Mateo Del Pino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Bini, Victor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Mwendwa Mbithi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Juan Sebastian Gomez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Tadeo Meneo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Tristan McCormick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Matteo Covato | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |