| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.4% | 68% | -12.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.7% | 87% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.5% | 84% | -10.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 68% | -8.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.8% | 23.1% | 22.1% |
| xgboost | 57.3% | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| logistic | 59.2% | 23.2% | 17.6% |
| Rennes | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1743 | 1614 |
| Surface Elo | 1743 | 1614 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Stade Lavallois MFC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Lyon | 0 - 4 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Marseille | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Angers | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Le Mans | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Brest | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Nice | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Lyon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Angers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Lens | 2 - 5 | L |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Auxerre | 0 - 3 | Rennes |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Rennes | 2 - 2 | Auxerre |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Rennes | 0 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Auxerre | 4 - 0 | Rennes |
| 11 Mar 2023 | Auxerre | 0 - 0 | Rennes |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Rennes | 5 - 0 | Auxerre |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.46 | 15.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.17 | 19.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.47 | 68.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |